Evaluating the impact of double dose vaccination on SARS-CoV-2 spread through optimal control analysis

บทความในวารสาร


ผู้เขียน/บรรณาธิการ


กลุ่มสาขาการวิจัยเชิงกลยุทธ์


รายละเอียดสำหรับงานพิมพ์

รายชื่อผู้แต่งRahat Zarina, Yousaf Khanb, Maryam Ahmadb, Amir Khanb, Usa Wannasingha Humphriesa

ผู้เผยแพร่Taylor and Francis Group

ปีที่เผยแพร่ (ค.ศ.)2024

หน้าแรก1

หน้าสุดท้าย24

จำนวนหน้า24

นอก1025-5842

eISSN1476-8259

URLhttps://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/10255842.2024.2364817

ภาษาEnglish-Great Britain (EN-GB)


ดูบนเว็บไซต์ของสำนักพิมพ์


บทคัดย่อ

his paper presents a new nonlinear epidemic model for the spread of SARS-CoV-2 that incorporates the effect of double dose vaccination. The model is analyzed using qualitative, stability, and sensitivity analysis techniques to investigate the impact of vaccination on the spread of the virus. We derive the basic reproduction number and perform stability analysis of the diseasefree and endemic equilibrium points. The model is also subjected to sensitivity analysis to identify the most influential model parameters affecting the disease dynamics. The values of the parameters are estimated with the help of the least square curve fitting tools. Finally, the model is simulated numerically to assess the effectiveness of various control strategies, including vaccination and quarantine, in reducing the spread of the virus. Optimal control techniques are employed to determine the optimal allocation of resources for implementing control measures. Our results suggest that increasing the vaccination coverage, adherence to quarantine measures, and resource allocation are effective strategies for controlling the epidemic. The study provides valuable insights into the dynamics of the pandemic and offers guidance for policymakers in formulating effective control measures.


คำสำคัญ

Double does vaccinationnumerical methodsoptimal controlsensitivity analysisstability analysis


อัพเดทล่าสุด 2024-24-06 ถึง 12:00