Evaluating the impact of double dose vaccination on SARS-CoV-2 spread through optimal control analysis

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Publication Details

Author listRahat Zarina, Yousaf Khanb, Maryam Ahmadb, Amir Khanb, Usa Wannasingha Humphriesa

PublisherTaylor and Francis Group

Publication year2024

Start page1

End page24

Number of pages24

ISSN1025-5842

eISSN1476-8259

URLhttps://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/10255842.2024.2364817

LanguagesEnglish-Great Britain (EN-GB)


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Abstract

his paper presents a new nonlinear epidemic model for the spread of SARS-CoV-2 that incorporates the effect of double dose vaccination. The model is analyzed using qualitative, stability, and sensitivity analysis techniques to investigate the impact of vaccination on the spread of the virus. We derive the basic reproduction number and perform stability analysis of the diseasefree and endemic equilibrium points. The model is also subjected to sensitivity analysis to identify the most influential model parameters affecting the disease dynamics. The values of the parameters are estimated with the help of the least square curve fitting tools. Finally, the model is simulated numerically to assess the effectiveness of various control strategies, including vaccination and quarantine, in reducing the spread of the virus. Optimal control techniques are employed to determine the optimal allocation of resources for implementing control measures. Our results suggest that increasing the vaccination coverage, adherence to quarantine measures, and resource allocation are effective strategies for controlling the epidemic. The study provides valuable insights into the dynamics of the pandemic and offers guidance for policymakers in formulating effective control measures.


Keywords

Double does vaccinationnumerical methodsoptimal controlsensitivity analysisstability analysis


Last updated on 2024-24-06 at 12:00