Evaluating the impact of double dose vaccination on SARS-CoV-2 spread through optimal control analysis
Journal article
Authors/Editors
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Publication Details
Author list: Rahat Zarina, Yousaf Khanb, Maryam Ahmadb, Amir Khanb, Usa Wannasingha Humphriesa
Publisher: Taylor and Francis Group
Publication year: 2024
Start page: 1
End page: 24
Number of pages: 24
ISSN: 1025-5842
eISSN: 1476-8259
URL: https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/10255842.2024.2364817
Languages: English-Great Britain (EN-GB)
Abstract
his paper presents a new nonlinear epidemic model for the spread of SARS-CoV-2 that incorporates the effect of double dose vaccination. The model is analyzed using qualitative, stability, and sensitivity analysis techniques to investigate the impact of vaccination on the spread of the virus. We derive the basic reproduction number and perform stability analysis of the diseasefree and endemic equilibrium points. The model is also subjected to sensitivity analysis to identify the most influential model parameters affecting the disease dynamics. The values of the parameters are estimated with the help of the least square curve fitting tools. Finally, the model is simulated numerically to assess the effectiveness of various control strategies, including vaccination and quarantine, in reducing the spread of the virus. Optimal control techniques are employed to determine the optimal allocation of resources for implementing control measures. Our results suggest that increasing the vaccination coverage, adherence to quarantine measures, and resource allocation are effective strategies for controlling the epidemic. The study provides valuable insights into the dynamics of the pandemic and offers guidance for policymakers in formulating effective control measures.
Keywords
Double does vaccination, numerical methods, optimal control, sensitivity analysis, stability analysis